The thesis introduces a model for Limit Order Book dynamics where price volatility is driven by a queue process inspired by polymer physics. Order arrivals and departures are represented as an M/M/1 Birth–Death process, which acts as stochastic volatility for price returns. Since volatility distribution is not analytically tractable, parameters are estimated maximizing Simulated Maximum Likelihood via Simulated Annealing. The calibrated model successfully reproduces many of the key statistical properties of high-frequency financial returns.

The thesis introduces a model for Limit Order Book dynamics where price volatility is driven by a queue process inspired by polymer physics. Order arrivals and departures are represented as an M/M/1 Birth–Death process, which acts as stochastic volatility for price returns. Since volatility distribution is not analytically tractable, parameters are estimated maximizing Simulated Maximum Likelihood via Simulated Annealing. The calibrated model successfully reproduces many of the key statistical properties of high-frequency financial returns.

Modelling Limit Order Book Dynamics via Subordinated Processes

BOSCOLO BAICOLO, LORENZO
2024/2025

Abstract

The thesis introduces a model for Limit Order Book dynamics where price volatility is driven by a queue process inspired by polymer physics. Order arrivals and departures are represented as an M/M/1 Birth–Death process, which acts as stochastic volatility for price returns. Since volatility distribution is not analytically tractable, parameters are estimated maximizing Simulated Maximum Likelihood via Simulated Annealing. The calibrated model successfully reproduces many of the key statistical properties of high-frequency financial returns.
2024
Modelling Limit Order Book Dynamics via Subordinated Processes
The thesis introduces a model for Limit Order Book dynamics where price volatility is driven by a queue process inspired by polymer physics. Order arrivals and departures are represented as an M/M/1 Birth–Death process, which acts as stochastic volatility for price returns. Since volatility distribution is not analytically tractable, parameters are estimated maximizing Simulated Maximum Likelihood via Simulated Annealing. The calibrated model successfully reproduces many of the key statistical properties of high-frequency financial returns.
Limit Order Book
Birth-Death Process
Market Microstrcture
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12608/102305