Econometric Analysis of Fantasy Football Player Valuation: A Model to Predict Value Changes

This thesis analyzes the dynamics behind the valuation of football players in the context of Italian fantasy football (Fantacalcio), with a specific focus on the factors that influence changes in player valuations throughout a season. By constructing an econometric model, we aim to identify key determinants such as player performance (goals, assists, ratings, etc.), team performance trends, real market value, and the player's reputation within the fantasy football platform. The study investigates how these factors interact and contribute to fluctuations in player valuations, considering both short-term performance and longer-term reputational aspects.