Hawkes processes are widely used in many applications, thanks to their self-exciting behavior. In this thesis, we study these processes and their properties in order to formalize stochastic optimization problems where the system dynamics are driven by Hawkes-diffusion processes. We apply our results to a cyber-security investment model, whose goal is to determine the optimal strategy to mitigate the impact of cyberattacks. The proposed model is a dynamic and stochastic extension of the static and deterministic Gordon Loeb model.

Hawkes processes: stochastic control and cyber-security

PARPINEL, ESTER
2024/2025

Abstract

Hawkes processes are widely used in many applications, thanks to their self-exciting behavior. In this thesis, we study these processes and their properties in order to formalize stochastic optimization problems where the system dynamics are driven by Hawkes-diffusion processes. We apply our results to a cyber-security investment model, whose goal is to determine the optimal strategy to mitigate the impact of cyberattacks. The proposed model is a dynamic and stochastic extension of the static and deterministic Gordon Loeb model.
2024
Hawkes processes: stochastic control and cyber-security
Hawkes processess
Stochastic control
Gordon Loeb model
Counting processes
Cyber-insurance
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12608/89909