The recent protectionist measures adopted by the United States, specifically the introduction of new and unexpected tariffs on the so-called "Liberation Day" of April 2, 2025, represent a turning point in global trade relations. These policies, also directed against allied countries such as the Eurozone and emerging markets, aim to revitalize American domestic production. However, at the same time, they raise questions about their international economic and social consequences. This document proposes to analyze the impact of these measures, focusing on the Eurozone, the United Kingdom, and emerging markets, highlighting the main macroeconomic and financial implications. Data provided by institutional sources, including the European Parliament and the International Monetary Fund, will be examined with reference to their effects on growth, inflation, and market stability. Particular attention will be given to potential spillover effects and the policy responses adopted or conceivable by the affected countries. Finally, potential future scenarios will be discussed, comparing risks and opportunities for the analyzed economies in an increasingly unstable global context.
Le recenti misure protezionistiche adottate dagli Stati Uniti, nello specifico l’introduzione di nuovi e inaspettati dazi in occasione del cosiddetto "Liberation Day" del 2 aprile 2025, rappresentano una svolta nelle relazioni del commercio globale. Tali politiche, dirette anche contro paesi alleati come, per esempio, l’Eurozona e mercati emergenti, aspirano a rilanciare la produzione interna americana, ma, al tempo stesso, sollevano interrogativi sulle loro conseguenze economiche e sociali a livello internazionale. Con il presente documento si propone di analizzare l’impatto di queste misure, focalizzandosi su Eurozona, Regno Unito e mercati emergenti, evidenziando le principali implicazioni macroeconomiche e finanziarie. Verranno esaminati i dati forniti da fonti istituzionali, tra cui il Parlamento europeo e il Fondo Monetario Internazionale, con riferimento agli effetti sulla crescita, sull'inflazione e sulla stabilità dei mercati. Particolare attenzione sarà dedicata ai possibili effetti di spillover e alle risposte politiche adottate o ipotizzabili da parte dei paesi colpiti. Infine, verranno discussi i potenziali scenari futuri, confrontando rischi e opportunità per le economie analizzate in un contesto globale sempre più instabile.
Trump e il Liberation Day: l’impatto delle politiche protezionistiche USA e le conseguenze per l’Eurozona, Regno Unito e mercati emergenti
POLLIS, EDOARDO
2024/2025
Abstract
The recent protectionist measures adopted by the United States, specifically the introduction of new and unexpected tariffs on the so-called "Liberation Day" of April 2, 2025, represent a turning point in global trade relations. These policies, also directed against allied countries such as the Eurozone and emerging markets, aim to revitalize American domestic production. However, at the same time, they raise questions about their international economic and social consequences. This document proposes to analyze the impact of these measures, focusing on the Eurozone, the United Kingdom, and emerging markets, highlighting the main macroeconomic and financial implications. Data provided by institutional sources, including the European Parliament and the International Monetary Fund, will be examined with reference to their effects on growth, inflation, and market stability. Particular attention will be given to potential spillover effects and the policy responses adopted or conceivable by the affected countries. Finally, potential future scenarios will be discussed, comparing risks and opportunities for the analyzed economies in an increasingly unstable global context.| File | Dimensione | Formato | |
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https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12608/102835